Thursday, October 9, 2008


MARKETWATCH FIRST TAKE

Citigroup's baffling call on Ford, GM

Commentary: Tossing Main Street skeptics another bone

By MarketWatch
Last update: 1:18 p.m. EDT Oct. 8, 2008
SAN FRANCISCO (MarketWatch) -- Citigroup Global Markets issued a 37-page research report Wednesday recommending investors dump their shares in General Motors Corp. and Ford Motor Co.
To many out there on Main Street, this looks like a serious grasp of the obvious.
It's also another example of why confidence in Wall Street has ebbed nearly as low as the two struggling carmakers' share prices.
Specifically, shares of GM (GM
General Motors Corporation
GM
)
are down 82% over the past 12 months, trading at a 56-year low.
And shares of Ford (F
F

F
)
are down 73% over the same interval.
Until Wednesday, Citigroup had labeled both stocks a hold.
The report goes to great lengths to explain mounting pressures on the companies. Chief among them: what the Citi calls intensified caution, deteriorating global credit conditions, and unappealing valuations.
"After maintaining a cautious stance on automaker stocks throughout the past several months, we believe the risk-reward balance has tilted decidedly negative on both absolute value and relative value versus underperforming suppliers," Citi writes in its note.
Huh?
This is the byzantine language of Wall Street. It raises serious questions about analysts' perception of reality and their ability to communicate to those millions of Americans who make up the investor class -- those whose retirement hinges on fast-shrinking 401(k)s.
Why cloak simple stock recommendations in impenetrable prose? Unless analysts are writing for themselves, they need to say in layman's terms why Ford and GM are now a bad bet.
Another obvious problem is the timing of the note. If these guys are so astute, why did they wait until Ford and GM were grinding along at historic lows before deciding they should be jettisoned?
Investors with only a rudimentary understanding of the market could see months ago that these companies are in the fight of their lives. How else to explain their share prices?
When all is said and done, Citi's note looks like a backside-covering maneuver, far too late to do any good and perhaps even harmful.
Common shareholders' growing distrust of Wall Street, and the reckless abandon that has plunged the world's economy into its worst crisis in decades, is well founded.
You have to wonder if this latest report won't be read by the skeptics as an inadvertent buy signal.
Printed from

US patent office's notice floors legal outsourcing
9 Oct, 2008, 0137 hrs IST,Durba Ghosh & Harsimran Singh, ET Bureau

NEW DELHI: The US slowdown has kicked off a heated debate in the US legal circles. At the heart of debate is a recent notice by the United States

Patent and Trademark Office (USPTO) barring companies who send information overseas regarding inventions and patents without government clearance. While some believe offshoring is good as it cut costs for legal firms, lawyer groups in the US are against it.

Treading on extreme grounds, some also believe the notice might sound a death knell for the LPO industry, while a section of Indian lawyers believe it is the result of hectic lobbying by a section of US law fraternity.

"It is the vested interest of a group, which is blowing it out of proportion. The notice does not mean much to us since we do not outsource any sensitive information. Some percentage of the LPO industry might be affected due to the market sentiment, but it will have no bigger impact," said CPA Global's India head Bhaskar Bagchi. CPA is one of the largest LPOs in the world.

Meanwhile, the Wall Street meltdown has resulted in a slew of bankruptcy filings, due diligence and lawsuit drafting work, a lot of which is being outsourced. Many believe that the US notice is just a ploy by anti-outsourcing lobby to prevent more of such work going to India. The cost of preparing a patent application in India averages about $2,000, whereas the cost to prepare the same application in the US ranges between $8,000 and $15,000. The median annual salary of a lawyer in the US is about $95,000, while in India it's around $20,000 per year. (I can believe that the $95,000 guy isn't outsourcing to the $20,000 guy and pocketing the difference). The primary function of this notice is to prevent publication of an application as a patent where such disclosure would be detrimental to the US national security. Additionally, the Act provides for the licensing of applications for export for the purposes of filing for patents abroad.

Says Mumbai-based LPO, Pangea3's co-founder and CEO Sanjay Kamlani: "This notice is just a reiteration of a rule that already existed before. In my view, by this notice, the US government accepts outsourcing as an inevitable part of economic transactions." However, some US attorney's look at it very differently. "Finally, someone has noticed that our export laws prohibit the sending of information relating to technology overseas without a proper license. This should signal an end to the $2.2 billion per year patent outsourcing to India. For admittedly selfish reasons I am happy that export regulations will now be enforced as written," writes a pro-regulation US patent attorney, Gene Quinn in his blog.

There's other section of the US legal fraternity, which has a different view. Last month, American Bar Association (ABA) came out in full support of outsourcing saying there was nothing "unethical" about it. The ABA's observations come in the midst of a long-running debate in the US and other Western countries over fear of job losses from outsourcing to places like India.

In the legal arena, the opponents of outsourcing practice have said there were additional concerns such as professional ethics and confidentiality. "The notice does not explicitly ban patent offshoring. USPTO has just reinstated a policy that has always been there. All the companies in this space adhere to the given guidelines," added Mr Bagchi. However, Pangea3, one of the leading LPO players, has drafted a formal response to its clients explaining how the notice impacts the current patent prosecution work outsourced to India. At present, the Indian LPO industry is worth $240 million and industry sources predict that this will grow to over $640 million by 2010. Also, the industry currently employs around 7,500 people, which is expected to reach 32,000 by end of 2010.







Financial Times FT.com

Tata buys Citi's Indian outsourcing arm

By Joe Leahy in Mumbai

Published: October 8 2008 14:16 | Last updated: October 8 2008 14:16

Tata Consultancy Services on Wednesday bought Citigroup's Indian business processing outsourcing unit for $505m in a deal that could become the first of many as global financial services groups seek to raise capital to weather the credit crisis.

As part of the deal, Citigroup has agreed to guarantee it will source $2.5bn of services over more than nine years from the unit, Citigroup Global Services, making the US firm TCS' largest client with around $500m of business a year including other contracts.

For TCS, the deal will enable it to offer a range of financial transaction services to clients other than Citigroup, a move India's largest outsourcing company hopes will catapult it to the lead of the financial BPO industry.

"Now we have the opportunity to take it [financial BPO services] to a number of other clients – that's a huge growth opportunity especially under today's market conditions," said N. Chandrasekaran, chief operating officer of TCS.

The deal represents a bet by TCS that once the global credit crunch bottoms out, financial groups will begin to outsource more of their core back office processes, such as handling customer transactions, to third parties to try to cut costs.

It also continues a trend among multinationals of offloading their "captive" business process outsourcing units in India to third party vendors to streamline their operations and raise capital.

This week, Japanese securities firm Nomura bought the back office operations of Lehman Brothers in Mumbai while in 2004, General Electric sold 60 per cent of its Indian back office unit, today known as Genpact, to private equity firms.

Citigroup Global Services employs about 12,000 people and is expected to generate sales of about $278m this year.

"This transaction is expected to help reduce operating expenses related to business processing and will allow us to focus on our core financial services competencies," said Don Callahan, chief administrative officer of Citigroup.

Citigroup Global Services' margin based on earnings before interest is 20 per cent, according to Mr Chandrasekaran.

He said the outlook for the Indian outsourcing industry presently was still negative, with clients waiting for a resolution of the credit crunch before committing themselves to new outsourcing contracts.

But he said by the time the acquisition was fully consummated in the first half of next year, he expected clients to be more willing to start outsourcing additional operations and processes to cut costs.

"We just need the uncertainty to be over – when uncertainty is there, clients won't take positions," said Mr Chandrasekaran.

Tuesday, October 7, 2008

Asia dominates global outsourcing list

By Lynn Tan, ZDNet Asia
Tuesday, October 07, 2008 04:51 PM

Asian cities have bagged the first three spots in a study of top emerging destinations for global outsourcing.

Cebu City in the Philippines was ranked No. 1 on the Top 50 Emerging Global Outsourcing Cities list, followed by the Chinese cities of Shanghai and Beijing at second and third places, respectively.

Of the top 50 destinations polled, more than half, or 19 cities, are from Asia, while the rest, comprising 13 cities, are from Central and Eastern Europe.

According to the survey released Monday by IT outsourcing and business process outsourcing (BPO) media company Global Services and investment advisory firm Tholons, choosing the right city has become "more important" than choosing the country when setting up an outsourcing center.

Considerations such as the availability of resources, in terms of the quality and type of workforce, cost and the availability of infrastructure, as well as the city's "long-term potential in fulfilling demand for specific services determine its attractiveness as an outsourcing center".

"The concept of an individual location being a 'one-stop-shop' has given way to 'smart, multi, selective sourcing' models, wherein selected processes are outsourced only to the most appropriate destination," said Ed Nair, editor of Global Services.

The report noted that "increasing competition in the global outsourcing will make the cities more focused in identifying appropriate service lines and in developing their service-delivery capabilities".

China's rising stars
In addition to Shanghai and Beijing, the list featured four other Chinese cities (Shenzhen at 10th, Dalian at 16th, Guangzhou at 23rd and Chengdu at 37th), with three of the six cities making it to the top 10.

"Shanghai is already known as a mature destination for providing offerings such as F&A (finance and accounting), product development, R&D (research and development) and testing, and Guangzhou is known for engineering-services," the Global Services study noted. "Outsourcing services such as application development and maintenance and business analytics are now being offered from Shenzhen and Shanghai respectively."

According to the survey, Tianjin, a second tier city, has the "potential" of moving into the top 50 list.

China is "home to numerous IT and BPO services providers", including global companies such as Accenture, Infosys, IBM and Satyam, as well as globally-known local providers Augmentum, Bleum, Dextrys and Neusoft, the report noted.

Monday, October 6, 2008

Do you know where your medical records are?

BM Launches Cloud Computing Center in India       Date Submitted: Thu Oct 02, 2008

BANGALORE: IBM has unveiled a cloud computing center in Bangalore. The center will give enterprise customers including mid-market, universities and government bodies in India immediate access to the resources they need to pilot cloud infrastructures and applications, and deliver new and innovative services to their customers. The center in Bangalore joins other new Cloud Computing centers in Korea, Vietnam and Brazil. These centers will cater to an increasing demand in emerging markets such as India for Internet-based new computing models and skills.

IBM Cloud Computing Centers host computing activities for clients or provide access to expertise and infrastructures for clients to design and deploy their own cloud environments. This computing model allows businesses and consumers alike to remotely access a vast computing resource that can be tapped on-demand to deliver next-generation services that consumers demand, like online medical records or mobile stock portfolio management. It also improves energy efficiency because of its principle as a shared infrastructure, and allows organizations to better track information, pay for what they use and access more computing, storage, services or applications on demand.

IBM is already collaborating with partners, government and academia in other emerging countries to facilitate innovation supported by a Cloud infrastructure. In India, clients such as mid-market vendors, academic institutions, telecommunications companies and government bodies will be able to access the center for the resources they need to pilot cloud infrastructures and applications, and deliver new services to their customers.

"Cloud computing  enables server centric virtualization which helps IT ecosystem to achieve smaller footprint, efficient resource utilization and server consolidation. Enterprises are looking at alternate ways to support their dramatically increasing computing needs, one that will allow for massive scalability while providing an energy efficient and resilient infrastructure. Technology collaboration between IIT Kanpur and IBM India will drive new developments in computing to support academic advancement and economic development in India," Said, Prof. Sanjay G. Dhande, Director, Indian Institute of Technology, Kanpur.

Dr. Ponani Gopalakrishnan, Vice President, India Software Lab, said, "The convergence of personally empowering technologies into the hands of the consumer is fundamentally changing consumer behavior and expectations. Cloud computing offers an answer for many of these needs and allows an organization to further reduce costs through improved utilization, reduced administration and infrastructure costs, and faster deployment cycles."

One of the prime agendas for the center in India will be to help enterprises looking to transform their data center for service delivery and innovation, as well as startup businesses or organizations that do not have or cannot afford to build an entirely new infrastructure. There will be a special focus on the fast growing communications industry including content providers, internet service providers and telecom companies.

Tata Nano exit shows power of state politics in India

Mon Oct 6, 2008 6:15am EDT

By Rina Chandran

MUMBAI, Oct 6 (Reuters) - Tata Motors' exit from West Bengal state after protests against a factory for its low-cost Nano car is a sign companies investing in India will need to pay heed to state politics and villagers in the large, complicated democracy.

Tata Motors (TAMO.BO: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz), India's biggest vehicle maker, on Friday said it was pulling out of the eastern state after having suspended work for more than a month in Singur, where it had planned to make 250,000 units of the Nano from around October.

Protests by farmers unhappy with the compensation paid for their land by the state had led to a blame game between the state government and the main opposition party that backed the farmers.

But for investors in India, the lesson may be that state governments and companies will have to pay more attention to the needs of farmers in a country where industrialisation pressures are mounting.

"It is not that difficult to do," said V.K. Jairath, an infrastructure consultant in Mumbai, pointing to states such as Maharashtra, Tamil Nadu and Gujarat, where large industrial projects are underway with little or no opposition.

"Ultimately, states have to come up with clear policies. Companies also have to get involved in the land acquisition and compensation procedure, alongside NGOs who can liaise with farmers and other stakeholders," he said.

Unlike China for example, analysts say that India's democracy of 1.1 billion plus people means industrial projects cannot just bulldoze through villages opposed to plans.

"In China, for example, if they say it will be done, it gets done," said Mohit Arora, a senior director at auto consultancy JD Power & Associates in Singapore. ( Interesting comparison. )

"Whereas in India, the policy framework can change frequently and without warning because opinion matters." ( Where individuals have more power than corporations?)

Some economists say the reported compensation of 1.2 billion rupees ($25 million) offered by West Bengal government was too low, even after the state offered to raise it by 50 percent, for villagers for whom land is the one precious asset they can hand down generation after generation. ( Ideally, the farmers would give their land away for nothing , and go work in the plants for just a little more than nothing).

Columnist Prem Shankar Jha wrote in the Hindustan Times that Tata Motors would only have to have increased the price of its Nano by around 250 rupees -- a little more than $5 -- to have afforded extra compensation to farmers of 125,000 rupees an acre.

"Today it is imperative for industrialists not to draw the wrong lessons from the Nano debacle. The Tatas may be able to (go) to Uttarkhand, Haryana, Karnataka or Maharashtra," he wrote.

"But (those governments) haven't faced their people yet, and the poor will also be drawing their lessons from Singur."

MATTER OF TIME

A colonial-era law that determines land acquisitions by states for undefined "public purposes" has led to a call for reform.

"Our land acquisition policy is flawed, the issue of compensation is extremely complicated and environment has become a global imperative now," said Darryl D'Monte, chairperson of the Forum of Environmental Journalists of India.  ( There must be waste lands somewhere in India that would be perfect for an industrialized area. The savings in land costs, and good will would far out weigh any additional transportation costs that the organizations would incur in the later.)

Analysts have said the immediate effect of the Tata pullout would be limited to the communist-ruled state of West Bengal, which is already lagging other states in terms of investment.

But other states have also seen courts intervening to resolve disputes such as the grant of vast tracts of forest land for POSCO's (005490.KS: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz) $12 billion steel plant in eastern Orissa and mining rights for Vedanta Resources (VED.L: Quote, Profile, Research, Stock Buzz), also in Orissa.

As demand for land grows from industry as well as increasing urbanisation, there is also greater incentive for politicians and other vested interests to get involved, said R.S. Deshpande, a professor at the Institute for Social and Economic Change.

"The farmers are not in a good bargaining position in this equation, but at the same time there is also growing activism as civil society takes a more active role in development," he said. (Editing by Alistair Scrutton and Sanjeev Miglani)


Friday, October 3, 2008

Pharma's new favorite outsourcing spot: China

Created Oct 3 2008 - 10:23am

Quality-control fears notwithstanding, China has knocked India off the catbird seat as pharma's favorite spot for outsourcing. According to a new report from PriceWaterhouse Coopers, China beats every other Asian country as an investment and contracting destination, followed by India, Korea and Taiwan. The countries all were evaluated by cost, risk, and market opportunities.

And it's not just low-cost production that's luring pharma to Asia, either. The report found that the region is growing in stature as a source for innovation and discovery [1]. Plus, local markets are burgeoning, giving pharma the potential for lots of new emerging-market sales.

The various countries have different strengths, with China and India [2] the primary drivers of pharma growth in the region. Singapore [3], on the other hand, is considered more of an R&D specialist, while Korea [4] and Taiwan [5] are emerging as competitors for pharma investment and business. What's contributing the the region's magnetism? Greater attention to intellectual property protections, for one. Cheaper clinical trials, of course. And an explosion of growth in certified contract manufacturers. In India, for example, there are more than 100 FDA-approved pharma plants, the largest number in any country outside the U.S.

- read the outsourcing release [6]

Related Articles:
Outsourcing: Good for what ails pharma [7]
Forecast: BioPharma outsourcing will grow '08 [8]
Pharma outsourcing continues to swell [9]
Chinese outsourcing poses new risks [10]